How Do You Predict A Draw In A Football Match?


Betting on draw results could be profitable, if you can anticipate a draw match well ahead of time. Draw bets are unique in many ways like they are more focused on match instead of individual performance of teams. 

Chasing draws looks easier, if you study the statistics of league results. Also, there are formulas like Progressive betting that provides an assurance of covering all your losses in the long run. 

If you are the one who love football betting tips today on draw matches then you will find this blog beneficial. Here you’ll find crucial information on how to predict draw results win bets.     

Betting on leagues with most draws….

Check draw results of various leagues to find the league with most draw results. Go through the results of last ten years and work out the percentage of draw results of all leagues. For convenience, you can consider the following results.

    • Ligue 1: 25.80%
    • Serie A: 24.80%
    • Bundesliga: 24.40%
    • Premier League: 24.20%
    • Liga: 23.40%
  • Champions League: 23.20%

The above mentioned are the five most popular European football leagues and the average draw results of these leagues can be calculated to 24.30%. 

The draw result percentage of a league will give you a rough idea of a league to bet on, but further research is required to pin-point matches with high probability of draw result. 

Find clubs with most draws….

Just like you calculated percentage of draw results of leagues, you need working out the probabilities of clubs giving draw results. It is a simple formula. A club with 20% draw results in a league is less likely to end its next match in a draw than the club with 40% draw results in the same league. 

Considering draw percentage of clubs within a league with most draw results will give you a fair idea on which team to bet on. When you’ve numbers to believe, you become more confident in your approach and when you’ve the confidence, you can certainly win bets.

Low stake matches often end on draws….

When two teams fight for survival, they are likely to score more goals. But when the teams have nothing to lose, they don’t feel motivated. Also, clubs use low stake matches to give chance to new players. Or it can also be said that key players are allowed to rest and get ready for next level matches where they are likely facing strong teams.

Look for friendly matches or second games that are more likely resulting in a draw. Also, a club that is already crowned is less likely to take interest in winning a match and could end it on a draw. 

Matches with low expected goals….

Some clubs play defensively or they become more defensive while playing with specific teams. Their strategy is to remain defensive while looking for opportunities to attack. They aren’t attackers but they miss no opportunity to attack. 

Two teams of equal strength and rank are likely to end their match in draw. They will become defensive to frustrate each-other to the point of making mistakes like fouls ending on penalties to score goals.

Sometimes a draw is all a club needs. As a serious punter, your job is to study individual performance of all clubs in a league and prepare a chart of their points table to identify matches that are more likely resulting in a draw.

Convenient draw results….

In a league, result of match is simplified in points like winning teams receives the highest points and draw results have points divided between contesting teams. If you study the points tally of a league tournament, you will see matches that are more beneficial, if they end on draw. These are called convenient draws and offered on extremely low odds.

Study last matches of the league you want to bet on to find the teams that could benefit with draw results in the upcoming matches. If you find such teams, you should bet on those teams. In this way, you will find the matches with high probability of ending with draw results.

Stacked on draws….

Some teams give consecutive draw results but it isn’t always due to luck or by chance. It could be a strategy to grab points. Such teams look for weak contestants to win points and settle on draws with stronger teams. In every league, there are some clubs that follow the strategy of grabbing points with draw results. 

Check performance of every team in the league you are betting on to find the clubs that are more likely to draw their matches. A further study of those teams will help in finding the clubs that could benefit most with draw results. You can bet on those teams and win bets.

Progressive draw betting strategy….

This strategy follows the Martingale line but is slightly different. The strategy is to capitalize on consecutive draw results. You choose a team you believe is likely to have a series of draws in a competition including international tournaments and bet on every match the team plays without worrying about the result. Also, you will keep increasing the price with every bet.

For example, you bet $100 on the first match but lost. You will increase the price by 50% as against 100% in Martingale strategy in following bets. In next match, you bet $150 (100 + 50) but lost it again. In third match, you bet $225 (150 + 75) and win the bet and get a profit of $200. It is like winning your first bet.

Final thoughts….

Draw as a strategy can work well, if you know how to predict draws and you will be surprised to know that it is much easier to find matches with high probability of ending on draws or teams profiting from draw matches. Or you can follow the progressive strategy that will give huge return in the long run. But buying verified soccer tips from a tipster with rich experience in draw match predictions is the most reliable way of winning draw bets.  

You can view the original article HERE.



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